Consadole Sapporovs
Iwaki
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Consadole Sapporo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Consadole Sapporo 2-1 Iwaki
Original prediction
Consadole Sapporo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.4% | 35.9% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.3% | 28.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 33.3% | 35.9% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Consadole Sapporo
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Consadole Sapporo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00