Conquensevs
Salamanca UDS
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Conquense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Conquense 1-0 Salamanca UDS
Original prediction
Conquense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.8% | 39.6% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.2% | 30.4% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 23.0% | 30.0% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Conquense
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Conquense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.50/1.00
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80