Conquensevs
Atlético Paso
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Conquense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Conquense 2-2 Atlético Paso
Original prediction
Conquense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.2% | 60.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.2% | 23.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 6.70 | 13.6% | 16.1% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–014%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Conquense
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Conquense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00