Conquensevs
Albacete II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Conquense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Conquense 4-0 Albacete II
Original prediction
Conquense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 60.4% | 59.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.2% | 22.1% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.92 | 15.4% | 18.7% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Conquense
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Conquense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00