Connecticut FCvs
Toronto II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 7/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Connecticut FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Toronto II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Connecticut FC
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
7.8%
Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80