GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Connecticut FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Toronto II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Connecticut FC

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

7.8%

Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Connecticut FCDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Toronto IILLWWD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Connecticut FCToronto II
63.5Attack55.6
41.3Defence36.5
50.8Form42.9
52.9Power45.7
2.71xG1.79
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