Connecticut FCvs
New York RB II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Connecticut FC 2-4 New York RB II
Original prediction
Connecticut FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.6% | 44.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.7% | 19.4% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.7% | 36.4% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Connecticut FC
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00