GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Connecticut FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while New England II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New England II hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 60.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while New England II holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England II

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

10.8%

New England II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Connecticut FCLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
New England IILLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Connecticut FCNew England II
63.5Attack54.0
41.3Defence61.9
50.8Form61.9
52.9Power60.7
1.55xG1.82
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