Connecticut FCvs
Inter Miami II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Connecticut FC 7-2 Inter Miami II
Original prediction
Connecticut FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.2% | 80.0% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.63 | 16.0% | 11.6% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 8.34 | 10.8% | 8.4% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–19%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
Connecticut FC
Probability
80.0%
Model confidence
80.0%
Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80