GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Connecticut FC are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 1.75 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Columbus Crew II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Columbus Crew II hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Connecticut FC

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Connecticut FCLWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.75/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Columbus Crew IILWWDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Connecticut FCColumbus Crew II
63.5Attack62.1
41.3Defence47.0
50.8Form57.6
52.9Power57.5
2.19xG2.08
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