Connecticut FCvs
Carolina Core
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 7/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Connecticut FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Carolina Core are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Connecticut FC
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
9.1%
Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20