GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Connecticut FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Carolina Core are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Connecticut FC

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

9.1%

Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Connecticut FCLWWLD

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Carolina CoreWDLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Connecticut FCCarolina Core
63.5Attack46.4
41.3Defence42.0
50.8Form33.3
52.9Power42.0
2.51xG1.48
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