Connecticut FCvs
Bethlehem Steel
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 4/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Connecticut FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bethlehem Steel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Connecticut FC
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
11.6%
Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00