GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Connecticut FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bethlehem Steel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Connecticut FC

Probability

52.1%

Model confidence

11.6%

Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Connecticut FCLLLWL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bethlehem SteelLWDLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Connecticut FCBethlehem Steel
63.5Attack36.4
41.3Defence56.1
50.8Form42.4
52.9Power46.2
1.87xG1.18
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