Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cameroon · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Congo 1-1 Cameroon
Original prediction
Cameroon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.41 | 16.9% | 27.8% | 10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.8% | 27.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 57.3% | 44.3% | -13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Cameroon
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Cameroon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CongoLDWLW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CameroonWDWDL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CongoCameroon
0.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power88.7
1.10xG1.41