Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Congo U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Congo U20 1-1 Gabon U20
Original prediction
Congo U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.8% | 36.6% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.0% | 29.8% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.3% | 33.6% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Congo U20
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Congo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Congo U20DDDW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.75/1.50
BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Gabon U20D
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Congo U20Gabon U20
50.0Attack0.0
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form33.3
50.0Power45.3
1.12xG0.91