Congo DRvs
Equatorial Guinea
COMPLETEDWorld · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 9/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Congo DR · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Congo DR 2-0 Equatorial Guinea
Original prediction
Congo DR
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 72.0% | 44.5% | -27.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.57 | 20.0% | 25.9% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 11.47 | 8.0% | 29.6% | 21.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Congo DR
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Congo DR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80