GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Congleton Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Congleton Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atherton Collieries are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Congleton Town hold a 61.1-point power-rating edge (68.1 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.2% in the FA Trophy, while Congleton Town holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Congleton Town

Probability

60.2%

Model confidence

60.2%

Congleton Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Congleton TownLWLWW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atherton CollieriesLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Congleton TownAtherton Collieries
53.3Attack0.0
66.7Defence0.0
80.0Form0.0
68.1Power7.0
2.17xG0.99
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