Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Confiança are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tombense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Confiança hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Copa Do Brasil, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80