GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 4/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Confiança are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Santa Cruz are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Cruz hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ConfiançaLLDWL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Santa CruzDWDLD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
ConfiançaSanta Cruz
20.8Attack35.4
64.6Defence72.9
25.0Form52.1
39.4Power55.9
0.39xG0.72
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