Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
26%
HighconfidenceConfiança are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Anápolis are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and confiança hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Serie C, favouring a draw with 26.2% confidence, a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
26.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ConfiançaDLLDW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AnápolisWLLDW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ConfiançaAnápolis
36.8Attack28.1
61.4Defence66.7
45.6Form40.4
49.9Power47.3
0.80xG0.59