ConcórdiavsMarcílio Dias

Concórdia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Marcílio Dias are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Concórdia hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Copa Santa Catarina, while Concórdia holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.