Concordiavs
Viitorul Şelimbăr
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Concordia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Concordia 5-0 Viitorul Şelimbăr
Original prediction
Concordia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.5% | 60.0% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 21.4% | 22.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 6.37 | 14.2% | 18.0% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Concordia
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Concordia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00