Concordiavs
Metalul Buzău
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Concordia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Concordia 0-1 Metalul Buzău
Original prediction
Concordia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.0% | 44.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.8% | 26.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.1% | 28.9% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Concordia
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Concordia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20