Concordiavs
CS Afumati
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Concordia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Concordia 1-2 CS Afumati
Original prediction
Concordia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 58.1% | 52.8% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.4% | 24.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 5.23 | 17.5% | 22.6% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Concordia
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Concordia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20