GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/18/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wikielec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Concordia Elbląg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Wikielec are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Wikielec hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Wikielec holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wikielec

Probability

52.1%

Model confidence

52.1%

Wikielec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Concordia ElblągLWWLL

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
WikielecLDDLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Concordia ElblągWikielec
36.3Attack36.3
3.9Defence54.9
29.4Form42.2
24.3Power45.3
1.01xG1.80
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