GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 6/1/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warta Sieradz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Concordia Elbląg are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 5.20 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Warta Sieradz holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Warta Sieradz

Probability

57.7%

Model confidence

57.7%

Warta Sieradz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Concordia ElblągLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 26 · avg 0.40/5.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Concordia ElblągWarta Sieradz
36.3Attack42.2
3.9Defence52.9
29.4Form43.1
24.3Power47.4
1.05xG2.11
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