GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/4/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Victoria Sulejówek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Concordia Elbląg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Victoria Sulejówek are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Victoria Sulejówek hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Victoria Sulejówek holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Victoria Sulejówek

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

55.4%

Victoria Sulejówek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Concordia ElblągWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Victoria SulejówekDLLLW

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Concordia ElblągVictoria Sulejówek
36.3Attack40.2
3.9Defence52.9
29.4Form40.2
24.3Power46.2
1.06xG2.00
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