GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/11/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Concordia Elbląg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 39.2-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

83.6%

Model confidence

83.6%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Concordia ElblągWWLDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Unia SkierniewiceWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Concordia ElblągUnia Skierniewice
36.3Attack76.5
3.9Defence54.9
29.4Form63.7
24.3Power63.6
0.96xG4.01
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