Concordia Elblągvs
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/21/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4
Concordia Elbląg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 76.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Probability
91.1%
Model confidence
91.1%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80