GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/21/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Concordia Elbląg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 76.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

91.1%

Model confidence

91.1%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Concordia ElblągLWLLD

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWLDDD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Concordia ElblągPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
36.3Attack100.0
3.9Defence68.6
29.4Form74.5
24.3Power76.1
0.65xG4.50
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