GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/2/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Concordia Elbląg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

70.7%

Model confidence

70.7%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Concordia ElblągLWLDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Pelikan ŁowiczDLLWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Concordia ElblągPelikan Łowicz
36.3Attack51.0
3.9Defence60.8
29.4Form51.0
24.3Power53.7
0.86xG2.60
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