GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/23/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mławianka Mława · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Concordia Elbląg are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mławianka Mława hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Mławianka Mława holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mławianka Mława

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Mławianka Mława has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Concordia ElblągLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Mławianka MławaWLDDL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Concordia ElblągMławianka Mława
36.3Attack39.2
3.9Defence50.0
29.4Form38.2
24.3Power43.7
1.13xG1.94
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