GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/25/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legionovia Legionowo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Concordia Elbląg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Legionovia Legionowo are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Legionovia Legionowo hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Legionovia Legionowo holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legionovia Legionowo

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Legionovia Legionowo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Concordia ElblągDLWWL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Legionovia LegionowoLLLDL

GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Concordia ElblągLegionovia Legionowo
36.3Attack40.2
3.9Defence30.4
29.4Form26.5
24.3Power34.1
1.62xG1.93
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