GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/23/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legia Warszawa II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Concordia Elbląg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Legia Warszawa II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa II hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Legia Warszawa II holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legia Warszawa II

Probability

82.7%

Model confidence

82.7%

Legia Warszawa II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Concordia ElblągLDLWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Legia Warszawa IIWLWDL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Concordia ElblągLegia Warszawa II
36.3Attack68.6
3.9Defence60.8
29.4Form63.7
24.3Power63.8
0.83xG3.60
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