Concordia Elblągvs
Jagiellonia II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/12/2023, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Concordia Elbląg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jagiellonia II
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50