GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/10/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Concordia Elbląg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bełchatów are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

71.0%

Model confidence

71.0%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Concordia ElblągLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BełchatówDLLWL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Concordia ElblągBełchatów
36.3Attack56.9
3.9Defence52.0
29.4Form54.9
24.3Power54.7
1.05xG2.91
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