GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 4/11/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Concón National · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Concón National are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Real San Joaquín are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Concón National hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Segunda División, while Concón National holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Concón National

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Concón National has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Concón NationalWDWWW

GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Real San JoaquínLLDWL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Concón NationalReal San Joaquín
41.0Attack46.2
71.8Defence51.3
53.8Form35.9
57.3Power44.9
1.33xG0.69
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