GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 5/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Concón National · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Concón National are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Provincial Ovalle are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Concón National hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.8% in the Segunda División, while Concón National holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Concón National

Probability

72.0%

Model confidence

17.8%

Concón National has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Concón NationalWDLWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Provincial OvalleDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Concón NationalProvincial Ovalle
41.0Attack30.6
71.8Defence33.3
53.8Form16.7
57.3Power29.8
1.91xG0.43
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