Concón Nationalvs
Provincial Osorno
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 10/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Concón National 0-0 Provincial Osorno, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Concón National 1-3 Provincial Osorno
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.4% | 35.5% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.4% | 32.9% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.2% | 31.6% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Projected Score
Concón National 0–0 Provincial Osorno
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.9%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80