Concón Nationalvs
Municipal Salamanca
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 5/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Concón National are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Municipal Salamanca are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Salamanca hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 62.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
32.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60