GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 5/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Concón National are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Municipal Salamanca are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Salamanca hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 62.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

32.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Concón NationalWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Municipal SalamancaDDDDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Concón NationalMunicipal Salamanca
41.0Attack30.6
71.8Defence86.1
53.8Form61.1
57.3Power62.3
0.67xG0.48
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