Concón Nationalvs
Colchagua
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Concón National 0-0 Colchagua, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Concón National 1-0 Colchagua
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.7% | 37.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 32.2% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.2% | 30.8% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
Concón National 0–0 Colchagua
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.2%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Concón NationalLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ColchaguaLLDLL
GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/1.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Concón NationalColchagua
43.1Attack31.3
64.7Defence70.8
52.9Form47.9
55.0Power51.3
0.82xG0.60