Concepciónvs
Union La Calera
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Concepción · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Concepción 1-0 Union La Calera, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Concepción 1-1 Union La Calera
Original prediction
Concepción
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.9% | 48.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 28.2% | 28.6% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.9% | 22.6% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Concepción 1–0 Union La Calera
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Concepción
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Concepción has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80