GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 3/2/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Concepción · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Concepción are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Provincial Osorno are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Concepción hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (69.7 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Segunda División, while Concepción holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Concepción

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Concepción has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ConcepciónD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Provincial OsornoLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
ConcepciónProvincial Osorno
65.4Attack41.0
71.6Defence87.2
71.6Form69.2
69.7Power67.7
1.09xG0.63
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