Concepciónvs
Nublense
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 3/6/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nublense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Concepción are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nublense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nublense hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.0% in the Primera División, while Nublense holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nublense
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
15.0%
Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80