Concepciónvs
Everton de Vina
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 5/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Concepción are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Everton de Vina are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Everton de Vina hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80