GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 3/17/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Concepción · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Concepción are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Concón National are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Concepción hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (69.7 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Segunda División, while Concepción holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Concepción

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Concepción has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ConcepciónDDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 0/3
Concón NationalLLDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.25/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
ConcepciónConcón National
65.4Attack41.0
71.6Defence71.8
71.6Form53.8
69.7Power57.3
1.23xG0.61
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