GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 2/20/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Concepción · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Concepción are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cobresal are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Concepción hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Primera División, while Concepción holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Concepción

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Concepción has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ConcepciónLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CobresalWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ConcepciónCobresal
37.0Attack44.4
57.4Defence31.5
42.6Form25.9
47.4Power36.0
1.69xG1.00
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