Concarneauvs
Gobelins
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 10/3/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Concarneau · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Concarneau 0-0 Gobelins, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Concarneau 2-1 Gobelins
Original prediction
Concarneau
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.3% | 40.6% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.1% | 32.4% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.6% | 27.1% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Projected Score
Concarneau 0–0 Gobelins
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Concarneau
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Concarneau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ConcarneauDWWDD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GobelinsWDLDD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
ConcarneauGobelins
41.7Attack25.0
70.8Defence70.8
54.2Form50.0
57.4Power51.6
0.89xG0.51