Concarneauvs
Bastia
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 8/5/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Concarneau are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bastia are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bastia hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Ligue 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00