GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Comunicaciones · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Comunicaciones 3-0 Suchitepéquez

Original prediction

Comunicaciones

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 01:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4164.7%47.8%-16.9 pts
Draw4.1022.3%25.9%3.6 pts
Away7.0213.0%26.4%13.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-16.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

Comunicaciones

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Comunicaciones has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ComunicacionesWLDLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SuchitepéquezLDLDL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ComunicacionesSuchitepéquez
26.7Attack33.3
40.0Defence27.8
20.0Form27.8
32.5Power33.2
1.41xG1.11
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