Comunicacionesvs
Municipal
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Comunicaciones 0-1 Municipal
Original prediction
Municipal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.1% | 32.0% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.9% | 29.1% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 31.0% | 38.8% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Municipal
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Municipal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60