GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Comunicaciones · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Comunicaciones 0-2 Marquense

Original prediction

Comunicaciones

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5658.1%37.3%-20.9 pts
Draw3.5925.2%27.9%2.7 pts
Away5.4516.6%34.8%18.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-20.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–111%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Comunicaciones

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Comunicaciones has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ComunicacionesDLLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MarquenseLWWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ComunicacionesMarquense
0.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
21.5Power80.3
1.03xG1.42
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